Pro Patria vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
25.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
CTT
1 - 2
PRO
53%
25%
22%
|
51 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
PRO
1 - 0
ACL
41%
29%
30%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
SAN
1 - 1
PRO
33%
25%
41%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
PRO
0 - 0
ASS
37%
28%
34%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
GEN
2 - 0
PRO
77%
15%
8%
|
51 | 68 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2005 |
NOV
0 - 1
PRO
63%
21%
16%
|
50 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2005 |
SPE
0 - 0
NOV
56%
25%
19%
|
50 | 59 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2005 |
TER
3 - 1
NOV
49%
25%
26%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2005 |
NOV
1 - 2
PAV
40%
28%
33%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2005 |
ASS
0 - 0
NOV
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |