Pro Patria vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
25.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
FCC
3 - 1
PRO
58%
25%
17%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1965 |
RPO
2 - 2
PRO
37%
25%
37%
|
57 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
REG
1 - 0
PRO
67%
20%
13%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
PRO
1 - 1
VER
50%
26%
24%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
PIS
1 - 0
PRO
48%
28%
24%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 1965 |
NOV
1 - 3
MAN
36%
30%
34%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
REG
0 - 0
NOV
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 1965 |
NOV
1 - 1
FCC
46%
28%
26%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
NOV
3 - 0
FOR
51%
26%
23%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1965 |
ASS
2 - 2
NOV
56%
24%
20%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |