Pro Patria vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.2%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.4%
18.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.3%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
GEN
1 - 0
PRO
65%
20%
15%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
PRO
0 - 1
ASS
59%
22%
18%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1960 |
MES
1 - 1
PRO
54%
25%
22%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
PAL
3 - 1
PRO
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
PRO
2 - 1
USF
59%
21%
20%
|
59 | 58 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1961 |
NOV
0 - 0
MAN
51%
24%
25%
|
59 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1961 |
SSS
2 - 1
NOV
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Dec. 1960 |
VNZ
2 - 1
NOV
55%
24%
20%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1960 |
NOV
1 - 0
COM
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1960 |
USA
4 - 1
NOV
65%
21%
14%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |