Pro Patria vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.9%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
22.5%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1948 |
TRI
0 - 0
PRO
48%
23%
29%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1948 |
PRO
1 - 1
INT
35%
23%
42%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1948 |
PAD
1 - 1
PRO
54%
21%
25%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1948 |
PRO
2 - 4
FIO
53%
22%
25%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 1948 |
ATL
0 - 1
PRO
58%
20%
22%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Nov. 1948 |
NOV
0 - 2
TOR
17%
22%
61%
|
71 | 92 | 21 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1948 |
ACM
4 - 1
NOV
79%
13%
8%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1948 |
NOV
1 - 0
PAL
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 1948 |
NOV
2 - 3
SAM
36%
24%
40%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1948 |
TRI
1 - 1
NOV
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |