Pro Patria vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.8%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
22.6%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1965 |
LIV
4 - 2
PRO
54%
26%
20%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1965 |
PRO
1 - 0
VNZ
48%
29%
24%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
ASS
1 - 1
PRO
61%
23%
17%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 1965 |
PRO
2 - 1
REG
46%
28%
26%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 1965 |
PRO
0 - 0
FOR
52%
25%
23%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 1965 |
MOD
0 - 0
REG
54%
26%
20%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1965 |
GEN
1 - 0
MOD
64%
23%
13%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 1965 |
VER
1 - 0
MOD
51%
28%
21%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 1965 |
VIC
2 - 0
MOD
73%
17%
11%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 1965 |
MOD
0 - 0
MAN
40%
29%
31%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |