Pro Patria vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
ASL
3 - 2
PRO
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 54 | 8 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
PRO
1 - 0
NOV
62%
22%
16%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
PAR
2 - 1
PRO
46%
27%
28%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
PRO
1 - 0
BRE
59%
23%
18%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
ASS
0 - 4
PRO
56%
24%
20%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
MOD
0 - 0
GEN
42%
28%
30%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1961 |
REG
3 - 0
MOD
64%
20%
15%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
MOD
1 - 0
MES
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
ACM
0 - 1
MOD
87%
9%
4%
|
57 | 86 | 29 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
USA
1 - 1
MOD
64%
21%
15%
|
57 | 65 | 8 | 0 |