Pro Patria vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
24.2%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1949 |
ROM
3 - 1
PRO
55%
22%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1949 |
JUV
4 - 3
PRO
76%
14%
10%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1949 |
PRO
1 - 0
PAL
54%
22%
24%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
PRO
1 - 2
LAZ
49%
23%
28%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
NOV
1 - 1
PRO
47%
24%
29%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 1949 |
MOD
2 - 0
LAZ
44%
26%
30%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1949 |
PAL
0 - 0
MOD
50%
25%
26%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1949 |
MOD
1 - 2
FIO
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
TOR
3 - 1
MOD
90%
7%
3%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
MOD
0 - 0
BAR
53%
23%
24%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |