Pro Patria vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
14.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.7%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
66.9%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.6%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.8%
0-3
7.5%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.8%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.1%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 1955 |
TOR
6 - 0
PRO
67%
19%
14%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1955 |
PRO
3 - 5
ROM
36%
26%
39%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1955 |
TRI
1 - 0
PRO
57%
22%
21%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 1955 |
PRO
1 - 0
GEN
45%
26%
30%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 1955 |
PAD
2 - 1
PRO
51%
23%
26%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 1955 |
SAA
1 - 4
ACM
22%
20%
58%
|
87 | 46 | 41 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1955 |
ACM
0 - 2
FIO
73%
15%
11%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 1955 |
ACM
0 - 0
VIC
86%
10%
5%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 1955 |
GEN
3 - 1
ACM
18%
21%
61%
|
88 | 72 | 16 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1955 |
ACM
3 - 4
SAA
88%
8%
4%
|
88 | 47 | 41 | 0 |