Pro Patria vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.7%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
59%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
FIO
3 - 0
PRO
66%
19%
16%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
PRO
1 - 3
NAP
55%
23%
23%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
ROM
2 - 0
PRO
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
PRO
2 - 0
BOL
51%
23%
26%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
GEN
1 - 0
PRO
52%
23%
26%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
TOR
0 - 4
ACM
35%
22%
43%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
ACM
2 - 0
TRI
88%
8%
4%
|
89 | 73 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
BOL
0 - 0
ACM
24%
22%
54%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
ACM
3 - 1
PAD
88%
8%
4%
|
89 | 72 | 17 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
INT
0 - 1
ACM
51%
20%
29%
|
89 | 86 | 3 | 0 |