Pro Patria vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.2%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.2%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
50.4%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1949 |
PRO
2 - 0
MOD
52%
24%
24%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1949 |
ROM
3 - 1
PRO
55%
22%
23%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 1949 |
JUV
4 - 3
PRO
76%
14%
10%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1949 |
PRO
1 - 0
PAL
54%
22%
24%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
PRO
1 - 2
LAZ
49%
23%
28%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 1949 |
ACM
2 - 0
LIV
77%
13%
10%
|
85 | 70 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1949 |
BOL
3 - 1
ACM
39%
24%
37%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1949 |
LAZ
2 - 3
ACM
45%
23%
33%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1949 |
ACM
2 - 2
GEN
72%
15%
12%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
ACM
2 - 0
PAD
78%
13%
9%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |