Pro Patria vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.3%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
40.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1932 |
CAS
3 - 2
PRO
50%
22%
28%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1932 |
USA
1 - 0
PRO
76%
14%
11%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1932 |
PRO
3 - 4
GEN
32%
24%
44%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1932 |
INT
6 - 2
PRO
81%
12%
7%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1932 |
PRO
1 - 1
INT
29%
24%
47%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1932 |
ACM
0 - 3
NAP
52%
23%
26%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1932 |
PAD
2 - 1
ACM
34%
22%
44%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1932 |
ACM
2 - 1
ROM
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1932 |
BAR
2 - 2
ACM
29%
22%
49%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 1932 |
ACM
4 - 2
CAS
80%
12%
8%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |