Pro Patria vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
51.6%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.6%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.8%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1930 |
BOL
4 - 1
PRO
85%
9%
6%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1930 |
PRO
0 - 0
LIV
48%
22%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1930 |
CAS
4 - 0
PRO
37%
24%
38%
|
69 | 55 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1930 |
BRE
3 - 1
PRO
59%
20%
22%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1930 |
PRO
1 - 2
TOR
27%
23%
50%
|
70 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 1930 |
ACM
2 - 0
TRI
75%
14%
11%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1930 |
GEN
2 - 1
ACM
67%
18%
15%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1930 |
ACM
2 - 0
UNI
72%
15%
13%
|
79 | 59 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1930 |
MOD
3 - 0
ACM
34%
23%
43%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 1930 |
ACM
1 - 0
BRE
64%
18%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |