Pro Patria vs ACR Messina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17.1%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1962 |
PRO
2 - 0
USA
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1962 |
GEN
2 - 2
PRO
64%
20%
16%
|
63 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1962 |
PRO
2 - 0
COM
62%
22%
16%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1962 |
NAP
4 - 0
PRO
59%
22%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1962 |
PRO
4 - 1
LAZ
47%
26%
27%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
ACR Messina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 1962 |
BRE
2 - 1
MES
54%
26%
21%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 May. 1962 |
MES
2 - 0
PAR
60%
24%
16%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 May. 1962 |
MES
0 - 1
NOV
58%
24%
18%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1962 |
LAZ
4 - 1
MES
59%
23%
19%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 1962 |
BAR
2 - 0
MES
53%
25%
22%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | -1 |