Pro Patria vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
36.1%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
VIT
1 - 0
PRO
23%
24%
53%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
PRO
0 - 1
GRO
44%
27%
30%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
ACS
1 - 2
PRO
24%
25%
52%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
PRO
1 - 0
PIS
42%
27%
31%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
NOV
2 - 2
PRO
59%
23%
18%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2004 |
ASL
1 - 1
SAS
54%
26%
20%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2004 |
PAV
3 - 0
ASL
34%
27%
39%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
USC
1 - 3
ASL
46%
27%
27%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2004 |
ASL
4 - 3
ACP
54%
25%
21%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2004 |
FIA
2 - 1
ASL
41%
28%
30%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | -1 |