Pro Patria vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.7%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.9%
15%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1963 |
PRO
0 - 0
COM
60%
24%
16%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
ASS
1 - 1
PRO
60%
23%
18%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
CAG
0 - 0
PRO
57%
24%
19%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
PRO
0 - 0
BAR
42%
28%
29%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
PRO
2 - 0
COS
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 1963 |
ASL
0 - 2
USF
43%
25%
33%
|
51 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 1963 |
ASL
1 - 3
BAR
37%
30%
33%
|
52 | 70 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 1963 |
COS
1 - 1
ASL
60%
20%
20%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1963 |
ASL
3 - 0
TRI
37%
27%
36%
|
50 | 60 | 10 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 1963 |
FCC
1 - 0
ASL
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 58 | 8 | 0 |