Pro Patria vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.9%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
19.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
JUV
2 - 1
PRO
85%
10%
6%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
TOR
1 - 0
PRO
75%
14%
11%
|
73 | 84 | 11 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1951 |
COM
2 - 1
PRO
56%
20%
24%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1951 |
PRO
1 - 1
SAM
53%
22%
26%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1950 |
PRO
2 - 1
UDI
58%
20%
22%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1951 |
ASL
0 - 0
GEN
55%
22%
23%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1951 |
COM
5 - 0
ASL
62%
19%
19%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1951 |
ASL
0 - 0
PAL
55%
22%
23%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1950 |
ASL
2 - 1
ATL
53%
23%
24%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Dec. 1950 |
INT
2 - 1
ASL
81%
12%
7%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |