Pro Patria vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
24.7%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-22%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
PAD
1 - 1
PRO
62%
19%
19%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
PRO
1 - 0
VNZ
59%
21%
20%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 1949 |
PRO
1 - 2
ATL
54%
23%
24%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
TOR
1 - 1
PRO
87%
8%
5%
|
71 | 91 | 20 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
PRO
2 - 4
ACM
26%
23%
51%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 1949 |
ASL
1 - 3
FIO
52%
22%
26%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1949 |
ATL
1 - 1
ASL
57%
21%
22%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1949 |
ASL
2 - 2
GEN
52%
22%
26%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1949 |
BAR
2 - 1
ASL
42%
25%
33%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1949 |
ASL
2 - 1
PAL
57%
21%
22%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |