Pro Patria vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.8%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
21.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1950 |
PAL
8 - 0
PRO
49%
24%
27%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1950 |
PRO
2 - 2
TRI
52%
23%
25%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1950 |
NOV
3 - 0
PRO
51%
23%
26%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Oct. 1950 |
PRO
2 - 0
INT
28%
23%
49%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1950 |
PAD
3 - 1
PRO
57%
21%
22%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 1950 |
GEN
2 - 2
ROM
59%
21%
20%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1950 |
ACM
4 - 0
GEN
87%
8%
5%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 1950 |
GEN
0 - 0
PAL
57%
22%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1950 |
NAP
1 - 1
GEN
50%
24%
26%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1950 |
GEN
1 - 1
FIO
48%
23%
29%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |