Pro Patria vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.9%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.9%
45.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.5%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1932 |
NAP
1 - 1
PRO
77%
14%
9%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1932 |
PRO
2 - 0
ACM
27%
22%
51%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1932 |
USA
6 - 1
PRO
71%
16%
13%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1932 |
BOL
4 - 0
PRO
82%
12%
7%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | -1 |
| 01 May. 1932 |
PRO
0 - 3
FIO
22%
21%
57%
|
69 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 1932 |
GEN
1 - 1
ROM
50%
21%
29%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1932 |
INT
3 - 1
GEN
69%
17%
14%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 1932 |
GEN
1 - 0
NAP
54%
22%
25%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1932 |
BRE
4 - 2
GEN
37%
25%
38%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1932 |
GEN
1 - 2
ACM
63%
19%
18%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | -1 |