Pro Patria vs Gela analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.4%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.9%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
12%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
PAD
0 - 0
PRO
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
PRO
1 - 1
SSS
62%
23%
16%
|
58 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
POR
0 - 1
PRO
35%
28%
37%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
PRO
1 - 2
RAV
38%
26%
36%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
VER
0 - 0
PRO
39%
28%
33%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Gela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2009 |
GEL
0 - 0
ASA
61%
24%
15%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ACI
0 - 1
GEL
24%
25%
51%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
GEL
3 - 1
VIG
74%
19%
8%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ASN
2 - 1
GEL
32%
26%
41%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2009 |
GEL
2 - 0
VAL
58%
23%
19%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |