Pro Patria vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.7%
18.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
PRO
3 - 1
USA
51%
25%
24%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
TRI
1 - 1
PRO
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1961 |
ACP
0 - 0
PRO
52%
24%
23%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
PRO
3 - 1
VER
57%
23%
20%
|
59 | 62 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
PRO
0 - 0
NOV
59%
22%
18%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 1961 |
NOV
3 - 1
FCC
54%
24%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1961 |
FCC
3 - 2
COM
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 1961 |
FCC
1 - 0
VER
56%
23%
20%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 1961 |
USF
3 - 0
FCC
54%
23%
23%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 1961 |
FCC
3 - 1
REG
51%
24%
25%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |