Pro Patria vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.6%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
16.8%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1933 |
PRO
2 - 1
USA
45%
23%
32%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1933 |
GEN
1 - 1
PRO
73%
16%
11%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1933 |
PRO
0 - 0
INT
26%
24%
51%
|
65 | 84 | 19 | +1 |
| 05 Feb. 1933 |
BAR
2 - 0
PRO
54%
21%
25%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 1933 |
PRO
1 - 1
TOR
30%
24%
46%
|
66 | 80 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 1933 |
CAS
2 - 3
GEN
31%
23%
46%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1933 |
INT
4 - 2
CAS
90%
6%
4%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1933 |
CAS
1 - 1
ROM
17%
20%
63%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1933 |
ACM
3 - 0
CAS
74%
15%
11%
|
63 | 79 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 1933 |
PAD
2 - 1
CAS
66%
18%
16%
|
64 | 72 | 8 | -1 |