Pro Patria vs Casale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
9.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1931 |
TOR
3 - 1
PRO
79%
13%
9%
|
67 | 80 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 1931 |
UNI
0 - 0
PRO
43%
24%
33%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1931 |
PRO
0 - 4
ROM
32%
25%
44%
|
68 | 84 | 16 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 1931 |
TRI
0 - 0
PRO
49%
22%
28%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1931 |
MOD
3 - 1
PRO
60%
19%
21%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Casale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1931 |
LEO
1 - 1
CAS
77%
13%
10%
|
55 | 75 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 1931 |
CAS
0 - 3
ROM
8%
14%
79%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1931 |
GEN
1 - 0
CAS
93%
5%
2%
|
56 | 84 | 28 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1931 |
CAS
0 - 0
BRE
29%
25%
47%
|
56 | 76 | 20 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1931 |
CAS
0 - 2
LAZ
28%
25%
48%
|
56 | 78 | 22 | 0 |