Pro Patria vs Carrarese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.9%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
32.4%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jan. 2021 |
PRO
0 - 0
USA
42%
28%
30%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2021 |
LIV
0 - 2
PRO
49%
25%
27%
|
50 | 48 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
PRO
1 - 0
GER
58%
23%
20%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | +1 |
| 20 Dec. 2020 |
NOV
0 - 0
PRO
46%
26%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
PRO
2 - 1
LEC
46%
26%
29%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Carrarese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2021 |
LEO
3 - 1
CAR
35%
27%
38%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 1
JS2
52%
24%
24%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2020 |
ASL
1 - 1
CAR
18%
22%
60%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2020 |
CAR
1 - 0
ABN
55%
24%
22%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2020 |
COM
2 - 1
CAR
35%
27%
38%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |