Pro Patria vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
26.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
FIO
3 - 1
PRO
63%
19%
18%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
PRO
0 - 0
ATL
59%
22%
18%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
LIV
2 - 0
PRO
48%
24%
28%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
BAR
1 - 0
PRO
42%
26%
32%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
PRO
1 - 4
SAM
40%
23%
37%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 1949 |
ATL
0 - 1
PAD
54%
22%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 1949 |
PAD
4 - 4
TOR
22%
24%
55%
|
73 | 91 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1949 |
FIO
0 - 0
PAD
63%
19%
18%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1949 |
PAD
0 - 0
MOD
54%
23%
23%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 1949 |
PAD
3 - 2
NOV
59%
21%
20%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | 0 |