Pro Patria vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.2%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
18.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1929 |
JUV
1 - 0
PRO
80%
13%
8%
|
65 | 87 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1929 |
PRO
0 - 1
GEN
21%
20%
59%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1929 |
USA
0 - 0
PRO
56%
20%
24%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 1929 |
PRO
4 - 2
USC
43%
24%
33%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1929 |
PAD
1 - 3
USA
50%
22%
28%
|
65 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1929 |
BRE
3 - 2
PAD
65%
18%
18%
|
65 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1929 |
TOR
3 - 1
PAD
82%
11%
7%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1929 |
PAD
1 - 3
MOD
64%
19%
17%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |