Pro Patria vs Brescia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.3%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
35.4%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.4%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-20%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1930 |
PAD
7 - 0
PRO
51%
22%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1930 |
PRO
0 - 1
JUV
30%
25%
45%
|
69 | 88 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1930 |
PRO
1 - 0
LEO
46%
23%
31%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 1930 |
GEN
6 - 2
PRO
81%
11%
7%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 1930 |
PRO
4 - 0
USA
46%
23%
31%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Brescia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 1930 |
BRE
1 - 1
ROM
51%
23%
27%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1930 |
BRE
1 - 0
LEO
63%
18%
19%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1930 |
PAD
2 - 1
BRE
40%
24%
35%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1930 |
BRE
2 - 1
NAP
47%
23%
30%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1930 |
BRE
4 - 1
ACM
45%
24%
31%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | +1 |