Pro Patria vs Bologna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.9%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
28.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
PRO
0 - 1
TOR
23%
24%
53%
|
73 | 91 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1949 |
PRO
2 - 1
GEN
42%
25%
33%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1948 |
MOD
1 - 1
PRO
51%
23%
27%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1948 |
PRO
1 - 1
ROM
50%
22%
28%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1948 |
PRO
0 - 1
JUV
33%
25%
43%
|
73 | 85 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Bologna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1949 |
ROM
1 - 1
BOL
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1949 |
BAR
3 - 0
BOL
32%
26%
42%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Jan. 1949 |
ASL
1 - 1
BOL
45%
24%
31%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 1948 |
BOL
3 - 0
JUV
38%
25%
37%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 1948 |
BOL
1 - 0
PAL
65%
19%
16%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |