Pro Patria vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
20.9%
29%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
36.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2005 |
PRO
0 - 1
ABN
22%
25%
53%
|
53 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
PRO
1 - 2
COM
49%
28%
23%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
SAS
2 - 1
PRO
36%
29%
36%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
PRO
2 - 1
ACP
51%
27%
23%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
ACI
3 - 2
PRO
36%
30%
34%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 2005 |
SPE
0 - 1
CES
32%
27%
41%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2005 |
SPE
0 - 0
ACI
45%
28%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2005 |
ACP
2 - 1
SPE
30%
28%
42%
|
58 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2005 |
SPE
0 - 0
FIA
52%
27%
21%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2005 |
SPE
2 - 0
VIT
63%
23%
14%
|
58 | 43 | 15 | 0 |