Pro Patria vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
26.8%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.8%
31.3%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
PRO
0 - 0
PIS
55%
24%
21%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2003 |
PRO
0 - 1
SAM
21%
26%
54%
|
58 | 75 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
PIS
0 - 0
PRO
47%
26%
27%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
PAD
2 - 1
PRO
52%
24%
24%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
PRO
0 - 1
ACP
57%
24%
19%
|
59 | 50 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2003 |
SPE
1 - 1
PAV
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2003 |
CTT
3 - 1
SPE
40%
27%
33%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2003 |
ARZ
3 - 0
SPE
32%
27%
42%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 2003 |
SPE
2 - 0
ASL
51%
27%
22%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2003 |
CES
2 - 2
SPE
51%
25%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |