Pro Patria vs SSC Bari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
9%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.2%
1-0
15.7%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.5%
30.5%
Draw
0-0
13.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
30.5%
26.9%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
BRE
1 - 0
PRO
66%
21%
13%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
SPA
4 - 1
PRO
66%
20%
14%
|
59 | 74 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Sep. 1964 |
PRO
1 - 0
VAR
42%
23%
34%
|
58 | 70 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 1964 |
CAG
3 - 1
PRO
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Jun. 1964 |
PRO
1 - 1
VER
44%
30%
26%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
SSC Bari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep. 1964 |
BAR
1 - 1
VER
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 1964 |
BAR
1 - 0
REG
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Sep. 1964 |
BAR
1 - 4
USF
55%
22%
23%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -2 |
| 31 May. 1964 |
BAR
2 - 0
FIO
21%
26%
53%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | +2 |
| 24 May. 1964 |
ACM
2 - 0
BAR
85%
11%
5%
|
68 | 89 | 21 | -1 |