Pro Patria vs Arzachena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.3%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
23.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
PRO
1 - 0
PON
33%
27%
40%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ASA
1 - 1
PRO
40%
26%
34%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
PRO
1 - 4
PIA
24%
26%
50%
|
44 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2018 |
NOV
0 - 1
PRO
75%
17%
8%
|
43 | 61 | 18 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2018 |
PRO
0 - 1
LEO
18%
24%
58%
|
43 | 59 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Arzachena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2018 |
ACD
1 - 0
ARZ
76%
17%
8%
|
42 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
ARZ
1 - 0
OLB
42%
26%
33%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2018 |
PIS
3 - 0
ARZ
63%
23%
14%
|
43 | 57 | 14 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
CUN
1 - 0
ARZ
40%
27%
33%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
ARZ
0 - 1
USA
25%
27%
49%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +1 |