Pro Patria vs Acireale analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
29.5%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
-49%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
PAV
4 - 3
PRO
51%
25%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
PRO
1 - 0
SPE
30%
27%
43%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2004 |
USC
2 - 2
PRO
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
PRO
0 - 0
ACL
42%
27%
30%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2004 |
MAN
0 - 0
PRO
61%
22%
17%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Acireale
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2004 |
ACI
0 - 1
PIS
39%
29%
32%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2004 |
ACS
3 - 1
ACI
30%
27%
44%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2004 |
ACI
0 - 2
GRO
41%
28%
31%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
PIS
2 - 2
ACI
48%
27%
25%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2004 |
ACI
0 - 0
MAN
32%
27%
41%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |