Pro Patria vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
33.9%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
NOV
2 - 0
PRO
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
PRO
0 - 2
SPA
46%
28%
26%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
RIM
2 - 0
PRO
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
PRO
0 - 1
VAR
50%
26%
24%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
PAV
3 - 1
PRO
36%
26%
38%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
REG
2 - 2
CES
35%
28%
37%
|
52 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
ASL
2 - 1
REG
42%
28%
30%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
PIS
3 - 0
REG
43%
27%
30%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -2 |
| 09 Nov. 2003 |
REG
0 - 1
ACL
41%
27%
32%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2003 |
VAR
1 - 2
REG
39%
28%
33%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |