Pro Patria vs Reggiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
24.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
VER
2 - 0
PRO
59%
20%
21%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
PRO
1 - 0
ACP
60%
22%
18%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 May. 1961 |
VER
3 - 2
PRO
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 58 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 May. 1961 |
NOV
1 - 0
PRO
46%
26%
28%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1961 |
PRO
2 - 0
GEN
52%
25%
23%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Reggiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 1961 |
MOD
2 - 1
REG
38%
24%
39%
|
64 | 54 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 1961 |
REG
0 - 0
MAN
55%
22%
23%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 May. 1961 |
USA
2 - 1
REG
54%
24%
23%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 May. 1961 |
REG
2 - 0
FCC
65%
19%
16%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1961 |
REG
1 - 3
MES
65%
20%
15%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |