Pro Patria vs Pavia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.9%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.2%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
30%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
MAS
0 - 0
PRO
35%
28%
37%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
PRO
0 - 2
PAD
44%
29%
28%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
ASL
1 - 1
PRO
49%
27%
24%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2006 |
PRO
0 - 0
USI
53%
25%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
PRO
3 - 1
ACS
47%
27%
27%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Pavia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2006 |
PAV
1 - 1
USC
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2006 |
PIS
1 - 0
PAV
42%
29%
29%
|
57 | 57 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2006 |
PAV
2 - 1
ACS
55%
24%
21%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
VNZ
2 - 1
PAV
54%
26%
21%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
PAV
1 - 2
SAS
32%
27%
42%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | 0 |