Pro Patria vs AC Montichiari analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
11.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ACD
2 - 2
PRO
42%
26%
31%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
PRO
4 - 0
ACS
80%
14%
7%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ACG
0 - 0
PRO
28%
26%
46%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
PRO
0 - 0
VAL
87%
10%
3%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
TRE
2 - 0
PRO
72%
18%
10%
|
36 | 50 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
AC Montichiari
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ACM
2 - 1
CUN
26%
25%
49%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2011 |
LEC
1 - 2
ACM
45%
28%
28%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +2 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
ACM
2 - 3
CAS
38%
27%
36%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | -2 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
SAN
3 - 2
ACM
67%
21%
12%
|
32 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
ACM
0 - 2
ACS
66%
21%
13%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | -1 |