Pro Patria vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
22.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
+88%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
USA
1 - 1
PRO
43%
26%
31%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
SAN
0 - 1
PRO
42%
25%
33%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
PRO
1 - 0
CAS
70%
18%
12%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
PRO
1 - 1
SAV
66%
20%
14%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
RIM
2 - 3
PRO
52%
24%
25%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
MAN
3 - 0
SAN
59%
24%
17%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 2
ACM
68%
21%
12%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
LEC
3 - 2
MAN
14%
22%
64%
|
44 | 23 | 21 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 2
MAN
12%
22%
67%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 1
CUN
53%
24%
23%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |