Pro Patria vs Lumezzane analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
2.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.3%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
43%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
ASL
1 - 0
PRO
48%
27%
25%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
PRO
1 - 0
REG
40%
27%
34%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
NOV
2 - 0
PRO
69%
19%
12%
|
52 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
PRO
0 - 2
SPA
46%
28%
26%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
RIM
2 - 0
PRO
50%
25%
25%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Lumezzane
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
ACL
0 - 3
ARZ
53%
25%
23%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
PIS
0 - 2
ACL
39%
28%
33%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
ACL
1 - 0
CTT
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
SAS
0 - 2
ACL
31%
29%
40%
|
58 | 46 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
ACL
1 - 0
ACP
57%
23%
20%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |