Pro Patria vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
47.8%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+57%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Patria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
FCV
2 - 1
PRO
28%
28%
44%
|
53 | 43 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
PRO
2 - 2
USC
31%
27%
42%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
VAR
3 - 1
PRO
44%
27%
29%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
COM
0 - 0
PRO
26%
28%
46%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
PRO
2 - 2
ASF
64%
22%
14%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
ARZ
1 - 1
PRG
65%
22%
14%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
PER
3 - 4
ARZ
18%
26%
56%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2010 |
ARZ
2 - 3
COM
80%
15%
5%
|
64 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2010 |
PAG
1 - 1
ARZ
17%
25%
58%
|
64 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2010 |
ARZ
3 - 1
FOL
68%
20%
12%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |