Pro Palazzolo vs Desenzano Calvina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
24.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
51.7%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.9%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Pro Palazzolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
TRI
2 - 4
PAL
18%
20%
63%
|
42 | 26 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
PAL
1 - 0
CAR
55%
24%
20%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
FOL
1 - 1
PAL
41%
26%
33%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
PAL
2 - 0
VCB
44%
26%
30%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CAS
2 - 1
PAL
50%
24%
26%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Desenzano Calvina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2024 |
CAR
2 - 1
DES
12%
23%
65%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
DES
1 - 1
ARC
55%
25%
21%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
TRI
0 - 2
DES
8%
21%
71%
|
49 | 25 | 24 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
DES
2 - 0
CAS
56%
25%
20%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FOL
0 - 2
DES
28%
27%
45%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | +2 |