Princesa Solimões vs São Francisco PA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.2%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
32.4%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Princesa Solimões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
PRI
2 - 0
PAL
74%
17%
9%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
PAL
2 - 3
PRI
20%
22%
58%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
FRA
3 - 0
PRI
39%
25%
36%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -3 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
PRI
0 - 0
BAR
74%
15%
11%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
CHA
2 - 0
PRI
80%
15%
5%
|
43 | 78 | 35 | -1 |
Matches
São Francisco PA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2016 |
BAR
2 - 2
FRA
21%
20%
59%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
FRA
2 - 2
BAR
72%
16%
12%
|
40 | 27 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
FRA
3 - 0
PRI
39%
25%
36%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
PAL
4 - 2
FRA
12%
17%
71%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | -3 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
FRA
3 - 0
CAM
51%
25%
24%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |