Copa Verde Last 16
Global 3-2
Princesa Solimões vs Santos AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Princesa Solimões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
SUL
0 - 2
PRI
27%
24%
50%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
PRI
3 - 3
MAN
35%
25%
40%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
PRI
0 - 2
NAC
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
NAC
1 - 3
PRI
57%
22%
20%
|
42 | 48 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
PRI
0 - 0
NAC
35%
25%
40%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
ECM
2 - 2
SAN
50%
23%
27%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 0
ECM
45%
24%
32%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Oct. 2013 |
SAN
1 - 2
ECM
47%
23%
29%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Sep. 2013 |
SAN
2 - 1
SPM
62%
20%
18%
|
32 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
TDC
1 - 0
SAN
43%
25%
32%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -1 |