Série D Brazil 1/16
Global 6-1
Princesa Solimões vs Palmas FR analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.5%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.8%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.9%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
15.6%
7.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Princesa Solimões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
PAL
1 - 3
PRI
18%
21%
60%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 4
PRI
18%
19%
63%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
PRI
2 - 0
FRA
43%
24%
32%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
PRI
2 - 0
PAL
74%
17%
9%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
PAL
2 - 3
PRI
20%
22%
58%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Palmas FR
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
PAL
1 - 3
PRI
18%
21%
60%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
FRA
1 - 2
PAL
72%
16%
12%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Jul. 2016 |
PAL
4 - 1
BAR
40%
23%
37%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
PRI
2 - 0
PAL
74%
17%
9%
|
25 | 38 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
PAL
2 - 3
PRI
20%
22%
58%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -2 |