Primeiro de Agosto vs Mbabane Swallows analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.7%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.1%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
15.3%
2-0
17.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
<0%
+2
23.5%
1-0
16.8%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
25.5%
17%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
0
17%
6.3%
Win probability
0.43
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Primeiro de Agosto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
SAG
2 - 2
PRI
30%
30%
41%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
ETO
1 - 1
PRI
65%
20%
16%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
PRI
1 - 0
DFC
61%
24%
15%
|
66 | 50 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
PRI
0 - 0
CRD
63%
23%
14%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
CDH
1 - 2
PRI
28%
30%
42%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mbabane Swallows
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
MBA
0 - 3
ZES
61%
22%
17%
|
43 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2018 |
ETO
2 - 0
MBA
88%
10%
3%
|
43 | 70 | 27 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2018 |
MBA
0 - 3
ETO
13%
20%
67%
|
43 | 70 | 27 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2018 |
MBA
1 - 0
PRI
11%
18%
71%
|
42 | 67 | 25 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
ZES
1 - 1
MBA
46%
24%
31%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |