CAF Champions Semi-finals
Global 3-4
Primeiro de Agosto vs ES Tunis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
44.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
14.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
24.2%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Primeiro de Agosto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
TPM
1 - 1
PRI
60%
22%
18%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
PRI
0 - 0
TPM
34%
29%
36%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
PRI
1 - 0
FCC
52%
26%
21%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | +7 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
PRI
2 - 1
MBA
77%
17%
6%
|
66 | 41 | 25 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2018 |
SAG
2 - 2
PRI
30%
30%
41%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
ES Tunis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2018 |
ESP
1 - 1
STA
80%
14%
6%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2018 |
ETO
0 - 1
ESP
47%
26%
28%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2018 |
ESP
2 - 1
ETO
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
ESP
2 - 2
ALI
64%
19%
16%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | +11 |
| 28 Aug. 2018 |
TOW
0 - 0
ESP
9%
18%
72%
|
72 | 42 | 30 | 0 |