CAF Champions Last 16
Global 0-2
Primeiro de Agosto vs ES Tunis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
39.1%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Primeiro de Agosto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2013 |
PRI
1 - 0
REC
45%
27%
29%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
PET
1 - 1
PRI
27%
29%
44%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
ASA
1 - 0
PRI
12%
19%
69%
|
64 | 29 | 35 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2013 |
PRI
3 - 0
CRD
54%
25%
21%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
PRI
4 - 2
ASA
79%
15%
6%
|
64 | 29 | 35 | 0 |
Matches
ES Tunis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
JSK
0 - 2
ESP
45%
27%
28%
|
72 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ODK
1 - 4
ESP
25%
28%
47%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2013 |
ZAR
1 - 0
ESP
45%
28%
28%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2013 |
ESP
2 - 1
OLY
60%
23%
18%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2012 |
ESP
0 - 0
ASD
58%
22%
19%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |