Primavera SP vs Noroeste analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.4%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.1%
52.7%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.1%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+33%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Primavera SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
COM
3 - 2
PRI
63%
23%
14%
|
47 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2020 |
PRI
1 - 0
VEL
19%
25%
57%
|
46 | 54 | 8 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
LIN
1 - 1
PRI
52%
25%
23%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
PAU
1 - 0
PRI
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
PRI
2 - 1
BAR
23%
28%
49%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 2
NOR
41%
26%
33%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
NOR
2 - 3
COM
41%
27%
31%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2020 |
OLI
1 - 3
NOR
30%
26%
45%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
NOR
1 - 1
CAP
30%
25%
45%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
DES
0 - 1
NOR
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |