Primavera SP vs Nacional SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.7%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
53.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.5%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+31%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Primavera SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2016 |
OLI
1 - 1
PRI
41%
26%
34%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
PRI
0 - 1
RIO
32%
26%
42%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
GUA
1 - 1
PRI
52%
23%
25%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
ITA
2 - 1
PRI
36%
26%
39%
|
46 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
PRI
1 - 2
COM
38%
28%
34%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Nacional SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2016 |
NAC
1 - 1
FER
79%
14%
7%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2016 |
NAC
3 - 1
COM
54%
24%
22%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Feb. 2016 |
MAT
3 - 1
NAC
36%
25%
40%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 3
SER
60%
22%
18%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2016 |
NAC
2 - 1
GRE
59%
22%
19%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |