Primavera SP vs Monte Azul analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.5%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
25.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Primavera SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
XVD
1 - 1
PRI
68%
21%
11%
|
50 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
PRI
1 - 1
JUV
34%
27%
39%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
PRI
2 - 2
CAP
29%
26%
45%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
LIN
2 - 1
PRI
42%
27%
31%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
COM
0 - 0
PRI
33%
27%
40%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Monte Azul
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
MON
1 - 1
NOR
18%
23%
59%
|
45 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2024 |
LIN
1 - 1
MON
53%
24%
24%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
JUV
3 - 0
MON
51%
25%
24%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
MON
0 - 2
SAO
22%
25%
53%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Feb. 2024 |
OES
0 - 1
MON
61%
22%
17%
|
45 | 57 | 12 | +1 |